Thursday, 6 March 2014


My guess is that Putin has "budgeted" two months for this crisis, although he probably expects it to be over before then. Two months is the length of time the leading Russian dissident blogger Alexei Navalny has just been sentenced to house arrest with no Internet access. Perhaps more importantly, Putin needed to steal a march on the new Ukrainian interim government, who announced elections for the end of May. Until then Putin can claim the Kyiv government is "illegitimate" and refuse to recognise any of its actions.

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